怎麼看"《南華早報》:中國軍方要求在南海與美軍對峙中絕對不要開火"?

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3096978/south-china-sea-chinese-military-told-not-fire-first-shot


South China Sea: Chinese military told not to fire first shot in stand-off with US forces

China has told its service personnel “not to fire the first shot” as Beijing looks to de-escalate tensions with the United States in the South China Sea, sources familiar with the situation told the South China Morning Post.

Both sides have stepped up their operations in the disputed waters, increasing the risk of incidents that spiral out of control, but Beijing does not want to give American hawks the opportunity to escalate things further.

The sources said Beijing had ordered pilots and naval officers to exercise restraint in the increasingly frequent stand-offs with US planes and warships.

Meanwhile, further details have emerged about a phone conversation between the two countries’ defence ministers last week.


The call was first suggested by the US side about “a month earlier” but was initially given a frosty reception in Beijing. But a source said the Chinese leadership later had a change of heart and decided to reach out as tensions escalated in the South and East China seas.


Despite tough public language dismissing the US carrier strike groups as “paper tigers”, sources said the PLA was wary of accidental clashes.


One source close to the military also said Beijing had communicated through “various channels” to the US that it had told its military “never to fire first” in a goodwill gesture to keep the situation under control.


“It’s easy to give the order to shoot, but neither China nor the US is able to control the consequences. The current situation is highly tense and very dangerous,” the person said.


 現在北戴河開會《南華早報》又是外宣,有意思
分析几个可能:

习近平没给命令,专注对内。现在,正在北戴河度假。

党内斗争很有可能进入最后阶段,鹰派已经明显取得上风。香港方面的行动没有完全束缚。

解放军将领没有把握在南海击败美军。更有可能会被越南截断运输而被围歼。

解放军可能会放弃对峙,几个月后北上引诱美军进入台湾附近。解放军已经在装备战术核武器,他们要缩小时间窗口打一次现代化的珍珠港。
流光岁月 我的岁月静好,靠你们墙外负重前行
已经到了对共产党做判断的时候,,
可能性有2个:
1.认怂,外强中干,中共纸老虎,只敢瞎嚷嚷不敢有实际行动,以维护珍惜国际和平为由不敢动手,由此可以得出,共产党真的只是垃圾废物窝囊党派

2.缓兵之计,先示弱,让敌人放松警惕,准备突袭应战,搞中国版的偷袭珍珠港,打美国一个措手不及,还算得上是立场坚定的党派

静静的看结果
是not to fire the first shot...
然而這不是支共一貫強調的麼...沒什麼特別意義

20字20字20字
蛤報的內容有其目的
閹黨魚死網破臨時取得上風,又敗了,人皆被釋放
北戴河取得不再刺激美國的共識,蛤報洩底打臉
閹黨鬧完香港想鬧台海,計畫一下罷了,don't even think about it. 
以上夢到的

台海問題不需要再煩惱了,也不需要再討論,台積盾堅若磐石,任何地表震動都是以卵擊石,再說事一律視為閹黨
你信不信,就算习近平亲自下令对美军航母进行攻击。舰队指挥官也只会装傻,不敢打。

习近平下指令:“给我狠狠地打! ”。
机智的总指挥官在通讯器里装傻:“习总书记,我们的通讯被美军干扰,信号不好,听不清您说什么,请您再说一遍。什么?全体返航?好的,遵令!”。

中共舰队指挥室的几个军官还没等总指挥官开口,便忙不迭地对各自部门下令:”不许开炮,立即返航,雷达关掉,炮口堵住,对对,一定要让美军看到,我们的炮口是堵住的。“
武装抵抗联盟 《小学生逛新品葱》今天我又在新品葱把支那批判一番,感觉心情很激动,作为一个骄傲的红领巾(叉掉)反贼,作为脱脂的高等人,这就是我们应该做的!只要大家齐心协力骂支那,每天可以对共匪造成-1伤害,这样子,只需要一万年不嫌多,共匪就能倒台拉!
这种“不开第一枪”的老话有必要拿出来分析?

我没法讨论不要问我转不转讨论
Audi2020 灰名单
已隐藏
Hailfreedom steal from the poor,give to the rich
太没意思了,应该指示看到美帝要赶尽杀绝,扬我国威,绝不可放走一个
    七律·美国解放军进军南海
钟山风雨起苍黄,百万雄师过大江。
虎踞龙盘今胜昔,天翻地覆慨而慷。
宜将剩勇追穷寇,不可沽名学霸王。
天若有情天亦老,人间正道是沧桑。
fb_china_today https://pincong.rocks/topic/反中国梦系列
中國的軍力是無法和美國抗衡。中國的策略叫做邊緣戰術, 用一切除了戰爭之外的手段謀求對南海的控制。如果過了紅線就是失敗。這樣的申明符合中國的戰略。

美國的對策也類似, 這種戰術美國更在行經驗豐富, 大概率最後逼得中國還是要先動手
只要一离开其岸基力量的保护,共军与美军发生冲突必以惨败告终。南海的那些人工岛礁易攻难守,放几架战机、几管导弹威胁一下越南菲律宾还行,面对美军只是靶子。一旦擦枪走火,这些据点将迅速被拔掉、南海局势瞬间倒转,而中共绝不敢继续升级军事行动,这会让它十分难堪。

对于台海战争,战狼们一个最基础的判断是,中美都是有核国家、都拥有洲际导弹,所以美国绝不敢与中国爆发全面战争,因此他们只要不惜代价,就一定能攻下台湾。但是反过来也可以问,在常规战中失败的中共,就敢首先发动核战争吗?
柏林卫戍军部队要求盟军不要开火!强烈谴责盟军侵略德国的野蛮行径!

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