资历老的葱友回答一下，美国对华关税是30%还是50%？
1 中美贸易战关税目前是多少%？
2 俄乌战争现状
3 中国外贸现状
4 习近平现状（听床）
5 叙利亚局势
2 俄乌战争现状
3 中国外贸现状
4 习近平现状（听床）
5 叙利亚局势
可以确定30%
本次谈判结束后 保留芬太尼的20%惩罚关税 同时保留10%的基础关税
于是是20%
说是50%的 我看到目前的几个说法
说是这次谈判仅限去前段时间145%
但是美国方面并没有废除301条款下征收的20% 所以是50%
另一种说法是 90天以后美国征收24% 这个是写在目前条约中的
也就是30%+24%
只不过是未来90天后征收
---------------------------
个人倾向是50%？是有301关税的
白宫方面的公报
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/05/joint-statement-on-u-s-china-economic-and-trade-meeting-in-geneva/
通篇报道很明确的指向了四月二号的新关税 有明确指定的
也就是说之前的301关税是存在的 这次谈判的结果仅限于之前那145%
也就是301的20% + 芬太尼20% + 这次保留的基础10%
------------------------
2 俄乌战争现状
乌克兰在库尔斯克地区应该是守不住了
----------------------
3 中国外贸现状
信息很杂 没办法给出准确的情况
但是可以确定的是前段时间中国商家由于美国关税 把货都发到加拿大屯着
这几天应该在南下了
--------------
-4 习近平现状（听床）-
听你麻痹的床
--------------------------
5 叙利亚局势
不了解
但是听到的消息大抵为 新政府比阿萨德在某些地方还要魔怔
预计未来会更魔怔
本次谈判结束后 保留芬太尼的20%惩罚关税 同时保留10%的基础关税
于是是20%
说是50%的 我看到目前的几个说法
说是这次谈判仅限去前段时间145%
但是美国方面并没有废除301条款下征收的20% 所以是50%
另一种说法是 90天以后美国征收24% 这个是写在目前条约中的
也就是30%+24%
只不过是未来90天后征收
---------------------------
个人倾向是50%？是有301关税的
白宫方面的公报
https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/05/joint-statement-on-u-s-china-economic-and-trade-meeting-in-geneva/
The United States will (i) modify the application of the additional ad valorem rate of duty on articles of China (including articles of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region and the Macau Special Administrative Region) set forth in Executive Order 14257 of April 2, 2025, by suspending 24 percentage points of that rate for an initial period of 90 days, while retaining the remaining ad valorem rate of 10 percent on those articles pursuant to the terms of said Order; and (ii) removing the modified additional ad valorem rates of duty on those articles imposed by Executive Order 14259 of April 8, 2025 and Executive Order 14266 of April 9, 2025.
China will (i) modify accordingly the application of the additional ad valorem rate of duty on articles of the United States set forth in Announcement of the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council No. 4 of 2025, by suspending 24 percentage points of that rate for an initial period of 90 days, while retaining the remaining additional ad valorem rate of 10 percent on those articles, and removing the modified additional ad valorem rates of duty on those articles imposed by Announcement of the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council No. 5 of 2025 and Announcement of the Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council No. 6 of 2025; and (ii) adopt all necessary administrative measures to suspend or remove the non-tariff countermeasures taken against the United States since April 2, 2025.
通篇报道很明确的指向了四月二号的新关税 有明确指定的
也就是说之前的301关税是存在的 这次谈判的结果仅限于之前那145%
也就是301的20% + 芬太尼20% + 这次保留的基础10%
------------------------
2 俄乌战争现状
乌克兰在库尔斯克地区应该是守不住了
----------------------
3 中国外贸现状
信息很杂 没办法给出准确的情况
但是可以确定的是前段时间中国商家由于美国关税 把货都发到加拿大屯着
这几天应该在南下了
--------------
-4 习近平现状（听床）-
听你麻痹的床
--------------------------
5 叙利亚局势
不了解
但是听到的消息大抵为 新政府比阿萨德在某些地方还要魔怔
预计未来会更魔怔
特朗普总统第一任期向中华人民共和国对美出口商品加征关税20%。拜登前总统未取消这部分关税。中国共产党通过人民币贬值消化了这部分关税。特朗普总统第二任期向中华人民共和国对美出口商品加征关税包含10%对等关税+20%芬太尼税，三部分关税总共是50%。
50%以上，更准确大概在55%左右，因为这里有2018年的关税，还有芬太尼加的20%，再加10%基础关税，必然是50%关税，对了，现在转口贸易被打击严重，所以不管是建厂，还是转出口已经不行了
平均来算只有30%+还不到50%，因为很多都被豁免了，比如美国从中国的进口大头的电子产品，包括现在对从中国来的小包裹也只征收30%的税。
中美貿易差五倍
所以50% 等於美國收中國總量25：1
30% 也有15：1
所以50% 等於美國收中國總量25：1
30% 也有15：1
50%，小包裹是54%，去美國貿易委員會(USITC)網站就可以查到這些數字，根本不用自己算
90天後估計會到74%，因為能談出什麼東西不現實
90天後估計會到74%，因為能談出什麼東西不現實
已隐藏
實際50%吧
這個緩沖期是還原到解放日當時的狀態
什麼都沒談怎麼可能給你減
你支也不會有新訂單了 就是原來的訂單趕緊運到美國再撐幾個月
叙利亞前途一片光明 諸叙自己怎麼圖都沒關係 美爹現在要聯中抗中 這下有福了
俄羅斯沒得到合理的下台階以前絕不會停手的 最少烏東全境
這個緩沖期是還原到解放日當時的狀態
什麼都沒談怎麼可能給你減
你支也不會有新訂單了 就是原來的訂單趕緊運到美國再撐幾個月
叙利亞前途一片光明 諸叙自己怎麼圖都沒關係 美爹現在要聯中抗中 這下有福了
俄羅斯沒得到合理的下台階以前絕不會停手的 最少烏東全境
关税到底多少放一起是讲不清楚的，要分开计算，基础关税、特定物品关税：
基础关税：所有物品30%，两次芬太尼关税20%+日内瓦谈判后基础关税10%。
特定物品关税：301关税20%-25%（指的半导体、锂电池、光伏等等）、钢铝汽车关税2.5%-25%（2025年2月对全球，当然包括中国）、小额包裹关税54%+100美元。
所以，每个不同的商品的关税是不同的，基础30%+看是否命中了特定的关税，但是是否叠加就看美国政府有没有豁免或叠加的政策，如果说一个模糊的主要区间数字，一般就在30%-55%。
基础关税：所有物品30%，两次芬太尼关税20%+日内瓦谈判后基础关税10%。
特定物品关税：301关税20%-25%（指的半导体、锂电池、光伏等等）、钢铝汽车关税2.5%-25%（2025年2月对全球，当然包括中国）、小额包裹关税54%+100美元。
所以，每个不同的商品的关税是不同的，基础30%+看是否命中了特定的关税，但是是否叠加就看美国政府有没有豁免或叠加的政策，如果说一个模糊的主要区间数字，一般就在30%-55%。
現在嘅機器更擅長搜尋和總結。
Key Points
• Research suggests the current US tariff on Chinese goods is 30%, and China’s tariff on US goods is 10%, based on a recent 90-day trade truce.
• 研究顯示，根據最近的90天貿易休戰，美國對中國商品的現行關稅為30%，中國對美國商品的關稅為10%。
Current Tariff Rates
As of May 15, 2025, it seems likely that the US imposes a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, while China imposes a 10% tariff on US goods. 截至2025年5月15日，美國對中國商品徵收30%關稅，而中國對美國商品徵收10%關稅似乎是可能的。
This agreement was reached on May 12, 2025, during negotiations in Geneva, and is effective for 90 days as part of a temporary trade truce. 這項協議於2025年5月12日在日內瓦談判中達成，作為臨時貿易休戰的一部分，有效期為90天。
For more details, refer to The New York Times, Reuters, and NPR. 有關更多詳情，請參閱The New York Times、Reuters和NPR。
Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of Current US-China Tariff Rates
The inquiry into the current tariff rates between the US and China, as of May 15, 2025, reveals a complex landscape shaped by recent diplomatic efforts and economic policies. The evidence leans toward a temporary reduction in tariffs, following a trade truce agreed upon during negotiations in Geneva on May 12, 2025. This section provides a comprehensive overview, including historical context, recent changes, and detailed breakdowns, to ensure a thorough understanding.
Background and Historical Context
Historically, US-China trade relations have been marked by escalating tariffs, particularly under the Trump administration, with rates reaching as high as 145% for the US on Chinese goods and 125% for China on US goods, as reported by CNBC on April 11, 2025. These high rates were part of a broader trade war, with retaliatory measures intensifying economic tensions. The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) noted that under the Biden administration, from January 20, 2021, to January 20, 2025, tariffs remained relatively stable, with some increases in September 2024 and January 2025, raising the average US tariff on Chinese exports from 19.3% to 20.8% (PIIE).
However, recent developments suggest a de-escalation. On May 12, 2025, both nations agreed to a 90-day pause on most tariffs, significantly reducing rates. This move aims to ease tensions and foster further negotiations, as detailed in reports from The New York Times, Reuters, and NPR.
Current Tariff Rates and Agreement Details
As of May 15, 2025, the current tariff rates, based on the Geneva agreement, are as follows:
• The US tariff on Chinese goods has been reduced from at least 145% to 30%, which includes a base 10% tariff and an additional 20% tariff related to fentanyl issues, as noted by NPR.
• China’s tariff on US goods has been lowered from at least 125% to 10%, aligning with the de-escalation efforts.
This 90-day period, starting from May 12, 2025, is intended to allow for continued discussions, though it remains unclear if further concessions will be made beyond this temporary measure. The agreement was confirmed by multiple sources, including NBC News, which reported on the rollback of recent levies.
Product-Specific Tariffs and Complexity
While the overall rates are set at 30% for the US and 10% for China, the actual impact varies by product. The New York Times highlighted that tariff rates can range from 0% to as high as 245%, depending on the product type, materials used, and exemptions. For instance:
• Smartphones and laptops are often exempt from higher reciprocal tariffs, facing only a 20% fentanyl-related tariff.
• Certain aluminum products and children’s books may remain duty-free or face lower effective rates due to exemptions.
The following table summarizes key product-specific tariffs, based on recent reports:
Product
Base Tariff
Pre-2025 Extra Tariff
Fentanyl Tariff
Reciprocal Tariff
Total Tariff Rate
Notes
Smartphones
0%
-
20%
-
20%
80% imported from China, $52B in 2024; The New York Times
Syringes
0%
100%
20%
125%
245%
Targeted by Trump, increased under Biden; The New York Times
Wool Sweaters
16%
-
-
-
24% (previously)
$170M imported last year, new tariffs raised rates; The New York Times
Toys, Dolls, Puzzles
0% (previously)
-
-
-
145% (now)
Over 75% from China, retail prices expected to rise; The New York Times
Aluminum Products
-
-
-
Exempt
Lower effective rate
Exempt from reciprocal tariffs; Reuters
Children’s Books
0%
-
-
Exempt
Duty free
93% of $600M imported from China, informational materials exempt; The New York Times
Electric Cars
-
-
-
-
Up to 100%
Part of goods with tariffs ranging 7.5%-100%; The New York Times
These variations highlight the complexity, as businesses must navigate exemptions and additional duties, such as the 25% car parts tariff effective early May, as noted in USITC.
Economic Implications and Future Outlook
The reduction to 30% and 10% is seen as a step toward de-escalation, but economists, as cited in Tax Foundation, warn that tariffs could still rise later in 2025, with President Trump threatening further increases to a baseline of 10% for more than 50 trading partners. The temporary nature of the truce, lasting only 90 days, suggests ongoing uncertainty, with no clear signs of permanent resolution, according to Reuters.
Additionally, Wikipedia notes that the trade deficit, driven by differences in saving rates and economic structures, remains a point of contention, with the US consistently importing more from China, reaching $375.6 billion in 2017. This context underscores the challenges in achieving long-term stability.
In conclusion, as of May 15, 2025, the current tariff rates are 30% for the US on Chinese goods and 10% for China on US goods, effective for 90 days. However, the complexity of product-specific rates and the temporary nature of the agreement suggest potential volatility in future trade relations.
Key Citations
• US-China Trade War Tariffs Up-to-Date Chart
• Trump Tariffs Economic Impact Analysis
• China Strikes Back with 125% Tariffs on US Goods
• Tariff Rates on Chinese Goods Detailed Analysis
• US and China Agree to Slash Tariffs Temporarily
• China-US Trade War Historical Context
• Details of China-US Geneva Trade Deal
• US and China Agree to Cut Tariffs for 90 Days
• US-China Tariff Deal Eases Trade War
• Trump Electronics Tariffs Impact
• Biden Tariffs on Chinese Goods Overview
• Trump’s Expanded Metals Tariffs Details
• USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule Search
• China Tariffs Retaliation Details
• WTO Tariff Profiles for US
Key Points
• Research suggests the current US tariff on Chinese goods is 30%, and China’s tariff on US goods is 10%, based on a recent 90-day trade truce.
• 研究顯示，根據最近的90天貿易休戰，美國對中國商品的現行關稅為30%，中國對美國商品的關稅為10%。
Current Tariff Rates
As of May 15, 2025, it seems likely that the US imposes a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, while China imposes a 10% tariff on US goods. 截至2025年5月15日，美國對中國商品徵收30%關稅，而中國對美國商品徵收10%關稅似乎是可能的。
This agreement was reached on May 12, 2025, during negotiations in Geneva, and is effective for 90 days as part of a temporary trade truce. 這項協議於2025年5月12日在日內瓦談判中達成，作為臨時貿易休戰的一部分，有效期為90天。
For more details, refer to The New York Times, Reuters, and NPR. 有關更多詳情，請參閱The New York Times、Reuters和NPR。
Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of Current US-China Tariff Rates
The inquiry into the current tariff rates between the US and China, as of May 15, 2025, reveals a complex landscape shaped by recent diplomatic efforts and economic policies. The evidence leans toward a temporary reduction in tariffs, following a trade truce agreed upon during negotiations in Geneva on May 12, 2025. This section provides a comprehensive overview, including historical context, recent changes, and detailed breakdowns, to ensure a thorough understanding.
Background and Historical Context
Historically, US-China trade relations have been marked by escalating tariffs, particularly under the Trump administration, with rates reaching as high as 145% for the US on Chinese goods and 125% for China on US goods, as reported by CNBC on April 11, 2025. These high rates were part of a broader trade war, with retaliatory measures intensifying economic tensions. The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) noted that under the Biden administration, from January 20, 2021, to January 20, 2025, tariffs remained relatively stable, with some increases in September 2024 and January 2025, raising the average US tariff on Chinese exports from 19.3% to 20.8% (PIIE).
However, recent developments suggest a de-escalation. On May 12, 2025, both nations agreed to a 90-day pause on most tariffs, significantly reducing rates. This move aims to ease tensions and foster further negotiations, as detailed in reports from The New York Times, Reuters, and NPR.
Current Tariff Rates and Agreement Details
As of May 15, 2025, the current tariff rates, based on the Geneva agreement, are as follows:
• The US tariff on Chinese goods has been reduced from at least 145% to 30%, which includes a base 10% tariff and an additional 20% tariff related to fentanyl issues, as noted by NPR.
• China’s tariff on US goods has been lowered from at least 125% to 10%, aligning with the de-escalation efforts.
This 90-day period, starting from May 12, 2025, is intended to allow for continued discussions, though it remains unclear if further concessions will be made beyond this temporary measure. The agreement was confirmed by multiple sources, including NBC News, which reported on the rollback of recent levies.
Product-Specific Tariffs and Complexity
While the overall rates are set at 30% for the US and 10% for China, the actual impact varies by product. The New York Times highlighted that tariff rates can range from 0% to as high as 245%, depending on the product type, materials used, and exemptions. For instance:
• Smartphones and laptops are often exempt from higher reciprocal tariffs, facing only a 20% fentanyl-related tariff.
• Certain aluminum products and children’s books may remain duty-free or face lower effective rates due to exemptions.
The following table summarizes key product-specific tariffs, based on recent reports:
Product
Base Tariff
Pre-2025 Extra Tariff
Fentanyl Tariff
Reciprocal Tariff
Total Tariff Rate
Notes
Smartphones
0%
-
20%
-
20%
80% imported from China, $52B in 2024; The New York Times
Syringes
0%
100%
20%
125%
245%
Targeted by Trump, increased under Biden; The New York Times
Wool Sweaters
16%
-
-
-
24% (previously)
$170M imported last year, new tariffs raised rates; The New York Times
Toys, Dolls, Puzzles
0% (previously)
-
-
-
145% (now)
Over 75% from China, retail prices expected to rise; The New York Times
Aluminum Products
-
-
-
Exempt
Lower effective rate
Exempt from reciprocal tariffs; Reuters
Children’s Books
0%
-
-
Exempt
Duty free
93% of $600M imported from China, informational materials exempt; The New York Times
Electric Cars
-
-
-
-
Up to 100%
Part of goods with tariffs ranging 7.5%-100%; The New York Times
These variations highlight the complexity, as businesses must navigate exemptions and additional duties, such as the 25% car parts tariff effective early May, as noted in USITC.
Economic Implications and Future Outlook
The reduction to 30% and 10% is seen as a step toward de-escalation, but economists, as cited in Tax Foundation, warn that tariffs could still rise later in 2025, with President Trump threatening further increases to a baseline of 10% for more than 50 trading partners. The temporary nature of the truce, lasting only 90 days, suggests ongoing uncertainty, with no clear signs of permanent resolution, according to Reuters.
Additionally, Wikipedia notes that the trade deficit, driven by differences in saving rates and economic structures, remains a point of contention, with the US consistently importing more from China, reaching $375.6 billion in 2017. This context underscores the challenges in achieving long-term stability.
In conclusion, as of May 15, 2025, the current tariff rates are 30% for the US on Chinese goods and 10% for China on US goods, effective for 90 days. However, the complexity of product-specific rates and the temporary nature of the agreement suggest potential volatility in future trade relations.
Key Citations
• US-China Trade War Tariffs Up-to-Date Chart
• Trump Tariffs Economic Impact Analysis
• China Strikes Back with 125% Tariffs on US Goods
• Tariff Rates on Chinese Goods Detailed Analysis
• US and China Agree to Slash Tariffs Temporarily
• China-US Trade War Historical Context
• Details of China-US Geneva Trade Deal
• US and China Agree to Cut Tariffs for 90 Days
• US-China Tariff Deal Eases Trade War
• Trump Electronics Tariffs Impact
• Biden Tariffs on Chinese Goods Overview
• Trump’s Expanded Metals Tariffs Details
• USITC Harmonized Tariff Schedule Search
• China Tariffs Retaliation Details
• WTO Tariff Profiles for US
1 中美贸易战关税目前是多少%？
现在，美国对中国关税为综合55%，中国对美国关税为综合25%。
2 俄乌战争现状
不了解，继续等通知吧。现在也不知道这周四泽连斯基在土耳其跟美国和俄罗斯能谈出什么来。
3 中国外贸现状
一片大好，美国和中国的外贸行业商人都在抓紧这90天缓和期继续出货，此前4月份中国出口到东南亚、加拿大的囤货正在抓紧时机往美国运呢。
另外还有一个观察点，就是那些天津港平行进口车商的视频号，有时候它们会发一些跟关税有关的视频，因为平行进口车里面有一半都是美国进口车，关税上涨直接关系到它们的生意存亡。
4 习近平现状（听床）
我包帝好着呢，那些海外听床师谣棍们都不得house。杀几个家丁算什么“帝位不稳”，盼着上位的奴才走狗要多少有多少。团派江派邓派胡派但凡真的有听床师口中所说的实力，李克强也不至于被习近平杀死。
5 叙利亚局势
不了解，等通知。
现在，美国对中国关税为综合55%，中国对美国关税为综合25%。
2 俄乌战争现状
不了解，继续等通知吧。现在也不知道这周四泽连斯基在土耳其跟美国和俄罗斯能谈出什么来。
3 中国外贸现状
一片大好，美国和中国的外贸行业商人都在抓紧这90天缓和期继续出货，此前4月份中国出口到东南亚、加拿大的囤货正在抓紧时机往美国运呢。
另外还有一个观察点，就是那些天津港平行进口车商的视频号，有时候它们会发一些跟关税有关的视频，因为平行进口车里面有一半都是美国进口车，关税上涨直接关系到它们的生意存亡。
4 习近平现状（听床）
我包帝好着呢，那些海外听床师谣棍们都不得house。杀几个家丁算什么“帝位不稳”，盼着上位的奴才走狗要多少有多少。团派江派邓派胡派但凡真的有听床师口中所说的实力，李克强也不至于被习近平杀死。
5 叙利亚局势
不了解，等通知。