Peter Zeihan 中國的終結, 武漢病毒是絕佳的加速

醒醒

想的美

是啊，先把川普搞下去了。。关税取消习近平做梦也会笑，外贸又活了。

更详细的解释参阅作者网站

https://zeihan.com/a-failure-of-leadership-part-iii-the-beginning-of-the-end-of-china/

The short version is that China’s spasming belligerency is a sign not of confidence and strength, but instead insecurity and weakness. It is an exceedingly appropriate response to the pickle the Chinese find themselves in.

Some of these problems arose because of coronavirus, of course. Chinese trade has collapsed from both the supply and demand sides. In the first quarter of 2020 China experienced its first recession since the reinvention of the Chinese economy under Deng Xiaoping in 1979. Blame for this recession can be fully (and accurately) laid at the feet of China’s coronavirus epidemic. But in Q2 China’s recession is certain to continue because the virus’ spread worldwide means China’s export-led economy doesn’t have anyone to export to.

Nor are China’s recent economic problems limited to coronavirus. One of the first things someone living in a rapidly industrializing economy does once their standard of living increases is purchase a car, but car purchases in China started turning negative nearly two years before coronavirus reared its head.

Why the collapse even in what “should” be happening with the economy? It really comes down to China’s financial model. In the United States (and to a lesser degree, in most of the advanced world) money is an economic good. Something that has value in and of itself, and so it should be applied with a degree of forethought for how efficiently it can be mobilized. This is why banks require collateral and/or business plans before they’ll fund loans.

That’s totally not how it works in China. In China, money – capital, to be more technical – is considered a political good, and it only has value if it can be used to achieve political goals. Common concepts in the advanced world such as rates of return or profit margins simply don’t exist in China, especially for the state owned enterprises (of which there are many) and other favored corporate giants that act as pillars of the economy. Does this generate growth? Sure. Explosive growth? Absolutely. Provide anyone with a bottomless supply of zero (or even subzero) percent loans and of course they’ll be able to employ scads of people and produce tsunamis of products and wash away any and all competition.

>> 是啊，先把川普搞下去了。。关税取消习近平做梦也会笑，外贸又活了。

但我想让习禁评派我去美国渗透，黑嘿嘿嘿嘿嘿嘿嘿……这样我不就目的达到了？哦，当然了，我会偷偷叛逃的，那是肯定的，不用担心我黑化。

现实为拜登打算弯道超车，照抄中共作业。
现在已经实行人格谋杀(各种抹黑），网路封杀(parler,twitter..)，偷换概念(BLM, antifa OK,  Pro-Trump No way) 。

甚至还有人提议将国会示威者记名列入禁飞名单。嗯，这不是中共的信用制度！？

终于要在墙外培植西洋菜了